Bull/Bear & Risk-Off Signals
Which sectors and industries are in confirmed uptrends, which are weakening, and where risk warnings override an attractive ranking.
Sector signals
- Information Technology: Weakening, elevated risk. XLK + 8.7% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear + 33; 3M vs SPY + 0.1pp; 63% of constituents above 200DMA, 48% above 50DMA.
- Financials: Bullish, moderate risk. XLF + 4.1% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear + 67; 3M vs SPY – 2.8pp; 63% of constituents above 200DMA, 47% above 50DMA.
- Health Care: Bullish, low risk. XLV + 13.4% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear +100; 3M vs SPY + 7.4pp; 88% of constituents above 200DMA, 85% above 50DMA.
- Communication Services: Bearish, elevated risk. XLC – 6.9% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear -100; 3M vs SPY – 2.7pp; 32% of constituents above 200DMA, 21% above 50DMA.
- Consumer Discretionary: Improving, elevated risk. XLY – 2.3% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear – 33; 3M vs SPY + 0.8pp; 34% of constituents above 200DMA, 51% above 50DMA.
- Industrials: Bearish, moderate risk. XLI – 4.9% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear -100; 3M vs SPY – 12.4pp; 40% of constituents above 200DMA, 48% above 50DMA.
- Consumer Staples: Bullish, low risk. XLP + 4.7% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear +100; 3M vs SPY + 3.0pp; 70% of constituents above 200DMA, 76% above 50DMA.
- Energy: Bullish, low risk. XLE + 19.2% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear +100; 3M vs SPY + 13.8pp; 76% of constituents above 200DMA, 86% above 50DMA.
- Utilities: Bearish, low risk. XLU – 3.9% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear -100; 3M vs SPY – 11.2pp; 32% of constituents above 200DMA, 81% above 50DMA.
- Real Estate: Bearish, moderate risk. XLRE – 1.7% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear -100; 3M vs SPY – 9.0pp; 37% of constituents above 200DMA, 47% above 50DMA.
- Materials: Bullish, moderate risk. XLB + 0.6% vs 200DMA, Bull/Bear +100; 3M vs SPY – 0.9pp; 63% of constituents above 200DMA, 67% above 50DMA.
Risk-off watchlist
- Cable/Satellite TV (Comm. Services): High risk, Bearish – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Industrial Machinery (Technology): High risk, Bearish – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Computer Peripherals (Technology): High risk, Weakening – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Momentum fading
- Casinos/Gaming (Discretionary): High risk, Bearish – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA
- Computer Processing Hardware (Technology): High risk, Bullish – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Momentum fading
- Other Information Technology (Technology): High risk, Neutral – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Engineering & Construction (Industrials): High risk, Bearish – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Semiconductors (Technology): High risk, Weakening – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Momentum fading
- Internet Software/Services (Comm. Services): High risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Trucking (Industrials): High risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA
- Electrical Products (Industrials): High risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA
- Apparel/Footwear (Discretionary): High risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Below 200DMA
- Wireless Telecommunications (Comm. Services): High risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Airlines (Industrials): High risk, Neutral – High volatility, Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Motor Vehicles (Discretionary): Elevated risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA, Momentum fading
- Aerospace & Defense (Industrials): Elevated risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Breadth deterioration, Below 200DMA
- Construction Materials (Materials): Elevated risk, Bearish – Deep drawdown, Below 200DMA
Source: Sonsero Sectors weekly snapshot 2026-10-25 (market data from TradingView). Scores, regimes and signals are rules-based descriptions of market conditions, not investment advice.