Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana. Regime, heat score, performance, opportunities, signals and strategies for this investment category, refreshed weekly.
Cryptocurrencies: Bull regime, heat score +56
Investment category #6 of 10. Average move −13.0% over 1 month and +22.1% over 3 months; 75% of its assets trade above their 200-day average. Investor interest: High; quant signal potential: Very high.
What we watch: Market momentum, spot flows, funding rates, leverage, liquidity. Risk-off warning signs: Forced liquidations, excessive funding, sharp liquidity contraction.
| Asset | Price | 1 month | 3 months | 1 year | Regime | Opportunity score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche (AVAX) | 8.8150 | −13.6% | +30.8% | −54.8% | Neutral | 50 (#42) |
| BNB (BNB) | 736.25 | −5.2% | +28.1% | −33.7% | Neutral | 56 (#37) |
| Solana (SOL) | 100.67 | −14.0% | +31.3% | −48.0% | Neutral | 54 (#40) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | 80,259 | −4.9% | +22.8% | −27.7% | Neutral | 55 (#39) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | 2,332 | −13.2% | +19.4% | −40.8% | Neutral | 50 (#41) |
| XRP (XRP) | 1.2956 | −15.6% | +16.5% | −48.4% | Neutral | 43 (#48) |
| Cardano (ADA) | 0.20379 | −17.7% | +22.9% | −68.9% | Transition | 23 (#77) |
| Dogecoin (DOGE) | 0.07676 | −19.8% | +4.7% | −61.2% | Transition | 13 (#86) |
Signals and alerts in Cryptocurrencies
- Alert (high severity): Cardano – Broke below its 200-day average this week
- Alert (high severity): Dogecoin – Extreme volatility
- Alert (high severity): XRP – Extreme volatility
- Alert (high severity): Solana – Extreme volatility
- Alert (high severity): Avalanche – Extreme volatility
- Alert (high severity): Ethereum – In a bear-market drawdown from its 52-week high
- Alert (high severity): BNB – In a bear-market drawdown from its 52-week high
- Alert (high severity): Bitcoin – In a bear-market drawdown from its 52-week high
- Bearish (emerging, strength 85): Cardano breaks below its 200-day average
- Bearish (watch, strength 65): Dogecoin: death cross watch
- Bearish (emerging, strength 64): Avalanche slips below its 50-day average
| Strategy | Asset | Return a year | Max fall | Sharpe | Buy & hold (return / max fall) | Current signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/10-Month Moving Average Crossover | Bitcoin | 36.3% | -40% | 0.86 | 35.9% / -73% | Invested |
| 10-Month Trend Filter | Bitcoin | 51.5% | -40% | 1.03 | 35.9% / -73% | Invested |
| 12-Month Absolute Momentum | Bitcoin | 34.5% | -41% | 0.81 | 35.9% / -73% | In cash |
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Source: Sonsero Markets weekly snapshot 2026-10-25 (market data from TradingView). Scores and regimes are rules-based descriptions of market conditions, not investment advice. Past performance and backtests do not guarantee future results.