Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Discretionary sector: regime, opportunity and risk scores, industry rankings, signals, leading stocks and ETFs, and the weekly brief.
Consumer Discretionary at a glance
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) is in a Neutral regime with a Bull/Bear score of −33, ranked 9 of 11 on opportunity (40/100) with elevated risk. It is leading against the S&P 500: +1.3% over 1 month and +3.7% over 3 months; 34% of its 47 stocks are above their 200-day average.
Industries
| Rank | Industry | Signal | Opportunity | 3 months | Leaders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Other Consumer Discretionary | Improving | 56 | +5.4% | BBY, HAS, EBAY |
| 2 | Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines | Improving | 54 | +4.3% | ABNB, HLT, MAR |
| 3 | Specialty Stores | Improving | 41 | +9.6% | WSM, ULTA, AZO |
| 4 | Restaurants | Improving | 38 | −2.8% | DRI, SBUX, YUM |
| 5 | Apparel/Footwear Retail | Bearish | 38 | −5.1% | ROST, TJX, TPR |
| 6 | Homebuilding | Bearish | 22 | +0.1% | DHI, LEN, PHM |
| 7 | Apparel/Footwear | Bearish | 22 | −10.2% | RL, NKE, DECK |
| 8 | Motor Vehicles | Bearish | 21 | −5.7% | TSLA, GM, F |
| 9 | Casinos/Gaming | Bearish | 2 | −25.2% | LVS, WYNN, MGM |
Leading stocks
- BBY – Best Buy Co., Inc. (Electronics/Appliance Stores): Bullish, 3 months +19.1%
- HAS – Hasbro, Inc. (Recreational Products): Bullish, 3 months +34.3%
- WSM – Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (Specialty Stores): Bullish, 3 months +16.0%
- EBAY – eBay Inc. (Internet Retail): Bullish, 3 months +13.7%
- GRMN – Garmin Ltd. (Telecommunications Equipment): Bullish, 3 months +21.8%
- HLT – Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines): Bullish, 3 months +9.1%
What drives Consumer Discretionary
Consumer confidence, spending, employment. Bullish indicators: Real consumer spending improves; employment remains healthy; discretionary retail sales accelerate. Bearish indicators: Consumer confidence declines; unemployment rises; discretionary spending weakens.
Source: Sonsero Sectors weekly snapshot 2026-10-25 (market data from TradingView). Scores, regimes and signals are rules-based descriptions of market conditions, not investment advice.