Brazil

Brazil (Latin America): regime scorecard, capital flows and BRL currency outlook from the latest weekly snapshot.

Weekly snapshot · data as of 23 October 2026 (2026-W43) · 13 regions · 36 countries · 32 currencies.

Regime scorecard

Neutral regime, score +31 (Bullish tilt); slowing economy; capital flows inflows increasing; geopolitical risk high. Strongest: capital flows (+86), market performance (+85). Weakest: geopolitics (-30), economic momentum (-14).

Factor scores (−100 to +100) and weights
Factor	Weight	Score
Economic momentum	30%	−14
Capital flows & liquidity	25%	+86
Market performance	20%	+85
Geopolitical conditions	15%	−30
Valuation & stability	10%	+17

IMF real GDP growth: 2.2% (2026), 1.9% (2027). Inflation 4.6%, policy rate 13.75%. Relative strength vs MSCI ACWI over 3 months: +16.9 pp. Currency (BRL) score +36, 1-year outlook ↑ / ↕.

Part of Latin America. Other countries: Mexico, Chile, Peru, Colombia.

Source: Sonsero Regions weekly snapshot 2026-10-25 (market data from TradingView; IMF, central bank and fund-flow research). Scores and regimes are rules-based descriptions of conditions, not investment advice.